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Agriculture Newsletter DOLLAR$ & $ENSE
Tough
Times Never Last But Tough People Do!
Farming has certainly seemed like a roller coaster the past several years with periods of higher prices and returns, followed by periods of lower returns and profitability. We wish that we could tell you that this pattern will soon change, but most agricultural economic indicators seem to point toward continued wide swings in prices, returns, and levels of profitability in many farm enterprises, as is the case in many other industries throughout the globe (think stock market, steel production, the airline industry, microcomputers, telecommunications, energy prices, or even the entire Japanese economy of the late 1990's!). So what's a person to
do in these tough times? Well three things come to mind:
2. Push the pencil, know exactly where you are financially, and search for ways to survive the current period of low prices. If you don't have enough hay to winter your brood cows, consider buying corn instead of hay. Can you sell some timber? Can you refinance some debt to take advantage of reduced interest rates? We are planning a workshop in Carrollton for dairy farmers, and beef schools on these very topics in January. Let Ken and me know how else we can help you with this task. 3. Think about diversifying or doing something differently. Doing things on the farm just as we have always done them, and expecting different results is a recipe for disaster in today's farm economy. Now would be a great time to identify ways to diversify the economic risk of your operation. Alternative farm enterprises or alternative production systems such as managed-grazing can help buffer your family's balance sheet from the wide commodity price swings which will likely continue in the future. Remember, tough times never last but tough people do, and nobody is tougher than the American farmer!
P &
K Requirement Following a Poor Crop Year
Generally corn and soybeans have more than adequate phosphorus when levels are above 40 ppm (80 lb). Additional applications at or above this level will accumulate in the soil but not benefit the crop, and may even cause environmental concerns. At adequate levels (15 - 30 ppm/30 - 60 lb), additional phosphorus should be applied to equal the amount removed by the crop. For corn, crop removal equals the yield goal multiplied by 0.35; for soybeans, crop removal equals the yield goal multiplied by 0.83. Between 30 - 40 ppm, application amounts less than crop removal would be recommended. If soil levels were below 15 ppm, then applications would include crop removal and a program that raises the overall soil P level. For example, if soil P levels were 10 ppm (20 lb), then a 160 bu/A corn crop would require 85 lb/A P and a 50 bu/A soybean crop would require 65 lb/A. Potash recommendations follow the same philosophy as phosphorus except consideration is given for soil cation exchange capacity (CEC). Since applied potash may be held more tightly by soils with high CEC, potash rates increase as the soil CEC increases. Regardless of CEC and yield goals, corn and soybean yields would not respond to additional potash at soil potash levels above 200 ppm (400 lb). Corn and soybeans grown on soils that have a CEC <10 would not respond to additional potash when the soil test level >150 ppm (300 lb). Tables on page 14 in the Tri-State Fertilizer Recommendations for Corn, Soybeans, Wheat, and Alfalfa guide provide potash rates for corn and soybeans at various yield goals and soil CES. Many private soil testing laboratories have the capability to make recommendations from this guide upon request. If you are not sure whether a private lab follows these recommendations, a computer program using the tri-state recommendations may be downloaded from the Internet at http://ohioline.osu.edu/lines/farm.html and selecting the software option. In summary, by understanding your soil tests, phosphorus and potash rates may be reduced without lowering corn and soybean yields. This may be one way to lower input costs following a year of poor crop performance. More details on soil fertility
may be obtained in Tri-State Fertilizer Recommendations for Corn, Soybeans,
Wheat, and Alfalfa, Bulletin E-2567, available through your county Extension
office. Recommendations from this publication incorporate over 40 years
of data from field calibration and correlation studies.
Cooperative
Mineral Purchasing Program
Cattle
Outlook Improving as Feedlot Inventories Dwindle
First, since July, USDA has confirmed what analysts had long expected: feedlot inventories are significantly below year-ago levels. With a cyclically small breeding and replacement herd that has been stressed and, in some cases, relocated due to drought, smaller calf crops are likely for the next few years. In addition, imports of Mexican feeder cattle have slowed as exporters deal with new TB import requirements, though the importation of Canadian feeder cattle due to drought has partially offset the Mexican slowdown. In addition to a reduction in the total number of cattle on feed, it appears cattle weights may finally moderate. The stellar rates of gain observed on the Plains this summer will be tempered by unseasonable cold and wet fall weather while increased feed prices will pressure feedlots to avoid higher slaughter weights. Several demand-side developments
also spark optimism. First, both the pork and poultry sectors appear to
have made the necessary adjustments to reduce competing meat supplies in
the upcoming year. USDA projects a 2% reduction in pork supplies for 2002,
while broiler egg sets are lower than year previous. Beef export news continues
to do better than initially expected . While the value of all US beef exports
is down about 3%, it could have been much worse given the value of exports
to Japan, our largest buyer, are down 40% so far in 2002 due to that country's
weak economy and BSE-induced beef aversion. August's exports are only 34%
behind last year, suggesting some recovery in sales to Japan. The value
of exports to South Korea (+129%) to Mexico (+95) have nearly offset Japan's
shortfall.
On a final note, cow-calf
operators need to be aware that the voluntary country of origin labeling
program recently introduced by USDA will become mandatory as of September
2004. The meat from animals without verified documentation concerning birthplace
may not be eligible for sale at many typical retail outlets and may be
relegated to the processed meat markets, potentially decreasing the animal's
value within the US marketplace. Hence, producers need to begin developing
ways of coming into compliance with these regulations or be prepared to
take lower prices for ‘undocumented animals' in the market.
Livestock
Mortality Composting Training and Certification Program
2002
Income Tax Update
The goal of income tax management is to avoid large year-to-year fluctuations in taxable income while making sure that there is at least sufficient income to offset personal exemptions and deductions. The 2002 standard deduction for a married couple filing jointly is $7,850; single is $4,700 and the personal exemption is $3,000. A married couple with no children can have $13,850 of income before they will pay any income tax. Self-employment taxes start at $400 net from self-employment so generally self-employment taxes will be paid before any income taxes are due. Tax
Planning in a Drought Year
Income from excess sales of any type of livestock can also be deferred to 2003 if the sales were caused by the 2002 drought. If the excess livestock sold is held for draft, breeding, or dairy purposes, the gain on those animals can be treated as an involuntary conversion ans postponed if similar animals are purchased animals within a two-year period. The "excess" amount of income or gain that can be deferred or postponed is the amount over and above the amount that would have normally been reported. Other government drought assistance payments are generally taxable in the year received. Be sure to examine your tax situation carefully before you decide whether to defer or not defer additional payments or income you received because of the weather. The Farmers Tax Guide has an excellent discussion on making the elections necessary to defer income related to drought conditions. Depreciation Planning and Changes
Ohio personal income taxes have been calculated starting with the Federal adjusted gross income from Form 1040. However, the Ohio General Assembly passed legislation during 2002 that "decouples" depreciation for Ohio income taxes from the 30% additional depreciation allowed for Federal tax purposes. This will affect all Ohio taxpayers that use Federal income as a basis for Ohio tax calculations. To make the adjustment for Ohio income taxes, the amount of the 30% additional depreciation claimed is divided by 6 and that 1/6th amount is added to the regular Federal deprecation claimed for years 1-6. The result of this change is that you will get the full benefit of the 30% additional depreciation on your Ohio income taxes, but the amount will be claimed over six years rather than just in the first year. Additional details on this adjustment for Ohio income taxes can be found at: http://www.state.oh.us/tax/Information_Releases/picft200201.html. While this change does not require a separate depreciation schedule for Ohio, it will require some extra record keeping to track the depreciation amounts claimed over time. Summary
Feeding
Dairy Cows in a Drought Year
Lower Forage Yields
Forage NDF
Minimum Total NDF
Maximum NFC
Necessary Adjustments 1. Diets with high moisture corn, especially high moisture corn with more than 30% moisture should have more NDF and less NFC than shown in the table (probably 1 or 2 units). 2. Diets with finely chopped forage need more total NDF and less NFC than shown in the table. As the amount of forage in diets is reduced, alternative fiber sources must be included. The best alternative for forages is probably whole linted cottonseed. This feed is high in NDF (45 to 50%) and stimulates chewing and rumination. Many other byproducts (e.g. soyhulls, corn gluten feed, wheat midds, and beet pulp) have high concentrations of NDF (>40%) but these feeds do not stimulate chewing as well as forages or whole cottonseed. These feeds are useful in low forage diets but if the diet is very low in forage (<17% forage NDF) or if the forage is finely chopped they will probably not be adequate to maintain chewing. Whole cottonseed should be fed in those diets. Nutrient Composition of
Drought-Stressed Forages
Although yields may be greatly reduced by drought, forage quality generally is improved. A water deficiency slows the nutrient changes associated with plant maturity. Midbloom alfalfa that is drought-stressed usually has similar nutrient composition as non-stressed alfalfa harvested in the late bud or early flower stage. Expect lower than normal NDF concentration in drought-stressed alfalfa and the NDF usually is more digestible than alfalfa grown with adequate water. Drought-stressed corn silage will have substantially more NDF and less starch than normal corn silage because the amount of grain in the crop will be reduced. This change usually reduces the energy concentration of the silage. The reduction in energy is not as great as would be expected based on NDF. concentrations because the NDF is usually more digestible. The estimated energy values obtained from labs should be carefully evaluated. Many equations used by labs to estimate energy will underestimate the energy concentration in drought-stressed corn silage. The higher NDF concentration of drought-stressed corn silage will mean that the amount of corn silage fed can be reduced without reducing the concentration of forage NDF in diets. The protein concentration of drought stressed corn silage is usually slightly higher than that found in normal corn silage. Higher Feed Costs
Ohio
Dairy Management Conference
Buckeye
Shepherds Symposium
Lamb
509
Sincerely,
Trade names are supplied with the understanding that no discrimination is intended and no endorsement by Ohio State University is implied. All educational programs conducted by Ohio State University Extension are available to clientele on a non-discriminatory basis without regard to race, color, creed, religion, sexual orientation, national origin, gender, age, disability or Vietnam-era veteran status. OSU Extension will provide accommodations to handicapped persons needing assistance to participate in Extension programs. If you require some type of assistance/accommodations to attend programs, utilize written materials or visit the Carroll, Harrison, or Jefferson County Extension Offices, please contact that office or TTD#1-800-589-8292. Visit Ohio State University
Extension’s WWW site “Ohioline” at: hhtp:/www.ag.ohio-state.edu/~ohioline/
All educational programs conducted by Ohio State University Extension are available to clientele on a nondiscriminatory basis without regard to race, color, creed, religion, sexual orientation, national origin, gender, age, disability or Vietnam-era veteran status. Issued in furtherance of
Cooperative Extension work, Acts of May 8 and June 30, 1914, in cooperation
with the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Keith L. Smith, Director, Ohio
State University Extension.
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